Tbilisi (GBC) - The share of mortgage loans in the banking portfolio has decreased, although the pace has accelerated in recent months.
According to the NBG's interactive statistics, irreversible growth has been observed since July. At that time, the annual rate was +10.7%Y.Y. In October (Q3/2024), it increased to 12.6%.
Despite the acceleration, the annual growth rate lags behind the consumer lending rate several times (The annual growth rate of consumer loans is 26.3%. The regulator considers the pace to be sustainable).
According to the NBG's analytical report, as of Q3/2024, the share of mortgages is 19.6%. At the beginning of the year, it exceeded 20%, and in 2023 it will reach 21%.
The mortgage loan portfolio as of Q3/2024 is GEL 11.6 billion, of which the balance of loans with a maturity of 5 to 10 years is GEL 3.046 billion. Mortgages with a maturity of more than 10 years amount to GEL 7.7 billion (Q3/2024 – GEL 2.4 billion; GEL 7.03 billion). Of this, the equivalent of GEL 3.2 billion are foreign currency loans.
As you know, since the fall of 2022, the maximum term of foreign currency mortgages has been reduced from 15 to 10 years.
With the summer regulation of the same year, a +3% corridor was opened for both foreign currency and lari mortgages, although foreign currency mortgages were more pressured. The 3% corridor assumes that when issuing a variable-rate loan (most foreign currency mortgages are a mix of variable and fixed), the borrower's solvency is assessed at +3%. This means that if the rate increases by 1, 2 or 3%, the mortgagee should not have difficulty servicing the loan. And the bank must be sure of this when issuing a loan that it will never have difficulty for a period of up to 10 years.