Tbilisi (GBC) - Weak start of 2025 brought correction fears, but Tbilisi’s residential real estate market finished the year with recovered demand and stabilized price growth, though oversupply risks are still on the radar, - according to the report published by Galt&Taggart.
Early in 2025, political uncertainty and weaker sentiment cooled demand, as many buyers postponed purchases. Apartment sales recovered later in the year as pent-up demand returned, lifting annual sales above 2023–24 levels, though still below the 2022 peak. On the supply side, even with an annual decline driven by a sharp 4Q25 slowdown, permit issuance stayed above 2015–22 healthy levels. Price growth moderated as strong permit issuance in recent years intensified competition, stabilizing price growth rate and pushing developers to offer their most refined inner instalment schemes yet. In 2026, we expect demand to remain broadly in line with 2025, supported by long-term fundamentals - urbanization, declining household size and attractive yields. Price is expected to have a stable single-digit growth and will largely depend on the supply side - planned large-scale projects and continued high permit issuance could add substantial new stock, limiting room for price growth.
Demand
In 2025, total apartment sales in Tbilisi, according to the Public Registry data, stood at 42,388 units, up 4.3% y/y.
• Sales on the secondary market, were up 12.3% y/y in Dec-25, bringing cumulative 2025 growth to 3.5% y/y.
• Sales on the primary market, where data are impacted by delayed registrations, increased by 5.4% y/y in Dec-25 and 5.2% y/y in 2025. Our real-time survey of developers, which captures current trends on the primary market, shows that sales doubled y/y in Dec-25, supported by low base of Dec-24, when domestic political instability began. Cumulatively, primary market sales were up 27.3% y/y in 2025.
Supply
In 2025, permitted living area in Tbilisi declined by 4.2% y/y to 1.7mn sq.m, affected by sharp slowdown in 4Q25 (-32.1% y/y). Even so, permit issuance remained elevated, 32% above 2015-22 average healthy level. Notably, elevated permit issuance in 2023–25 was initially a response to the demand surge in 2022, but it has yet to fully realign with the lower postpeak sales.
Prices
In 2025, prices increased across both primary and secondary markets. Primary market price was largely flat through 9M25 (0.2% m/m), however, growth accelerated in 4Q25 to 0.7% m/m amid recovered demand and slowed issuance of permits, reaching $1,373 in Dec-25. Overall, average price on the primary market increased by 4.0% y/y in 2025, down from 11.6% in 2024 and 20.2% in 2023. In Dec-25, average price on the secondary market (for new buildings built with permits issued after 2013) increased by 7.9% y/y to $1,316 per sq.m.
Rents
In 2025, average rent remained within the $9-10 per sq.m stability range prevailing since 2024. In Dec-25, price for renting an average apartment (50-60 sq.m) in Tbilisi was $9.8 per sq.m, keeping rental yield within its long-term healthy level at 8.6%.