Tbilisi (GBC) - TBC Capital expects the NBG to purchase foreign currency in August-September, although not at the same frequency as in May-June.

According to the investment bank's updated macroeconomic analysis, the surplus in the foreign exchange market in recent months, which triggers the strengthening of the lari and the growth of international reserves, persisted in June and early July.

In June, a significant contribution to foreign currency inflows was also made by activated purchases of Georgian government securities by non-residents, which increased the share of foreign investors in government securities to 8.3% (the highest since February 2022).

TBC Capital economists note, against this backdrop, an increase in international reserves of 52% per year, in line with expectations.

It is expected that the accumulation of reserves will continue in the coming months, although at a relatively moderate pace.

 

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Reserve Assets

             Reserves

                        Gold

06-2025

                      4 688 444,9

                      3 456 409,1

                         754 397,5

07-2025

                      5 021 978,8

                      3 793 751,8

                         757 013,5

08-2025

                      5 203 606,8

                      3 942 126,4

                         786 914,5

09-2025

                      5 427 125,3

                      4 072 865,3

                         877 822,2

10-2025

                      5 603 506,2

                      4 210 214,5

                         920 551,0

11-2025

                      5 816 123,4

                      4 383 031,1

                         961 753,8

12-2025

                      6 159 276,6

                      4 680 015,5

                      1 002 314,0

01-2026

                      6 299 589,0

                      4 674 327,3

                      1 143 225,0

02-2026

                      6 659 955,5

                      4 987 652,7

                      1 198 403,0

03-2026

                      6 316 585,3

                      4 791 517,4

                      1 057 514,9

04-2026

                      6 470 758,1

                      4 938 769,6

                      1 058 203,4

05-2026

                      7 007 050,7

                      5 489 232,4

                      1 043 195,5

06-2026

                      7 122 899,7

                      5 637 932,3

                      1 013 998,5 

Source: NBG